Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Lorentz 48.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 77.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 72.3%
Neutral zone
Newhook 73.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Newhook
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Newhook
Lorentz
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
5
Newhook
Lorentz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
48.9% (1,118)
-7.4%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
50.0% (26)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
41.9% (86)
+5.2%
On even strength, Lorentz has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lorentz
Home
41.6% (1,061)
50.8% (606)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Newhook
Lorentz
P1
39.9%
53.0%
P2
41.9%
46.8%
P3
43.1%
46.1%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |