Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 70.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Newhook
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Newhook
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
51.6% (1,084)
-16.4%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
61.0% (246)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.1% (136)
-10.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hertl
Home
38.1% (189)
55.2% (696)
Away
31.5% (203)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Newhook
Hertl
P1
33.9%
55.4%
P2
36.3%
54.8%
P3
33.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
34.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |