Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 75.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Newhook
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Newhook
Hertl
Last 7: Newhook 4-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Newhook
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
54.1% (1,117)
-12.3%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
59.8% (296)
-23.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hertl
Home
42.4% (236)
54.3% (709)
Away
40.4% (267)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Newhook
Hertl
P1
42.9%
51.6%
P2
38.5%
53.6%
P3
43.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
36.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |