Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Hertl 56.8% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 60.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 56.6%
Neutral zone
Newhook 55.7%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Newhook
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Newhook
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Newhook
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Newhook
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
57.0% (718)
-12.1%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
64.9% (188)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.2% (77)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hertl
Home
45.1% (246)
59.2% (463)
Away
48.0% (246)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Newhook
Hertl
P1
44.7%
56.3%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
43.9%
60.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |