Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Hertl 54.2% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 63.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Newhook
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Newhook
Hertl
Last 10: Newhook 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
2
Newhook
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Newhook
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
53.8% (8,268)
-12.3%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
59.3% (1,975)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
46.3% (806)
+0.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hertl
Home
41.6% (1,061)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Newhook
Hertl
P1
39.9%
53.6%
P2
41.9%
54.1%
P3
43.1%
55.3%
OT
80.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |