Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 45.3% vs Coleman 47.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 89.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 77.8%
Neutral zone
Tuch 55.0%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Tuch
Coleman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tuch
Coleman
Last 5: Tuch 1-4 Coleman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Coleman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
0
4
Tuch
Coleman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
48.1% (430)
-14.8%
Power Play
50.6% (83)
36.4% (11)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.7% (96)
+57.3%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tuch shoots right. Coleman is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Tuch
Coleman
Home
40.0% (90)
47.5% (221)
Away
45.3% (75)
46.5% (316)
By Period
Tuch
Coleman
P1
51.1%
46.7%
P2
40.6%
52.4%
P3
37.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
35.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.4%
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |