Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Coleman 49.3% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Tuch 50.0%
Defensive zone
Coleman 52.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 59.1%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Tuch
Coleman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
47.5% (40)
-3.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
50.0% (2)
-10.0%
On power play, Coleman has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Coleman is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Tuch
Coleman
Home
46.9% (32)
39.1% (23)
Away
39.5% (43)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Tuch
Coleman
P1
56.3%
47.1%
P2
35.5%
58.8%
P3
27.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%