Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Coleman 49.2% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 54.7%
Defensive zone
Tuch 64.3%
Neutral zone
Coleman 52.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Tuch
Coleman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
50.0% (60)
-10.4%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
25.0% (4)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
46.7% (15)
+2.3%
On even strength, Coleman has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Coleman is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Tuch
Coleman
Home
47.1% (102)
46.5% (43)
Away
33.7% (86)
50.0% (36)
By Period
Tuch
Coleman
P1
41.5%
56.0%
P2
43.3%
41.2%
P3
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%