Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Coleman 43.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 83.4%
Defensive zone
Coleman 65.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.9%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Tuch
Coleman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tuch
Coleman
Last 7: Tuch 1-6 Coleman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Coleman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
0
5
Tuch
Coleman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
0
1
Tuch
Coleman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
45.3% (1,060)
-6.6%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
34.1% (41)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
35.8% (321)
+7.4%
On power play, Tuch has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Coleman is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Tuch
Coleman
Home
42.1% (394)
44.5% (663)
Away
38.8% (402)
41.4% (759)
By Period
Tuch
Coleman
P1
44.7%
42.4%
P2
40.6%
44.6%
P3
36.0%
41.7%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |