Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.9% vs Coleman 47.9% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 50.7%
Defensive zone
Tuch 58.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 53.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Tuch
Coleman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Coleman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
0
1
Tuch
Coleman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (65)
47.5% (61)
-6.0%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
50.0% (4)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
0.0% (4)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Tuch is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Tuch shoots right. Coleman is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Tuch
Coleman
Home
34.8% (46)
41.0% (39)
Away
44.1% (59)
50.0% (30)
By Period
Tuch
Coleman
P1
48.6%
33.3%
P2
43.9%
52.6%
P3
25.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.0%
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |