Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-17.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Tuch
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (65)
57.0% (718)
-15.5%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
64.9% (188)
-48.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
44.2% (77)
-3.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Tuch is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Tuch shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Tuch
Hertl
Home
34.8% (46)
59.2% (463)
Away
44.1% (59)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Tuch
Hertl
P1
48.6%
56.3%
P2
43.9%
55.4%
P3
25.0%
60.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%