Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Hertl 57.2% (-15.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.3%
Defensive zone
Tuch 51.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Tuch
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
58.1% (823)
-11.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.2% (265)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
62.9% (35)
-35.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Tuch
Hertl
Home
48.5% (33)
59.7% (561)
Away
37.1% (35)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Tuch
Hertl
P1
33.3%
51.6%
P2
46.2%
63.8%
P3
52.9%
58.6%
OT
25.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%