Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Hertl 55.4% (-14.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.1%
Defensive zone
Tuch 64.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Tuch
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
54.1% (717)
-14.5%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
61.9% (210)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
58.1% (31)
-9.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Tuch
Hertl
Home
47.1% (102)
58.1% (492)
Away
33.7% (86)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Tuch
Hertl
P1
41.5%
57.1%
P2
43.3%
54.0%
P3
37.5%
56.6%
Final 5 min
39.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%