Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.0%). Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Dowd 49.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 76.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 64.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Kerfoot
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
Last 6: Kerfoot 6-0 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
51.7% (644)
+0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
41.6% (221)
-16.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Dowd
Home
39.2% (51)
48.6% (451)
Away
57.1% (63)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Kerfoot
Dowd
P1
51.1%
49.1%
P2
51.6%
47.3%
P3
44.4%
51.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |