Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 81.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Kerfoot
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
55.2% (625)
-10.2%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
57.1% (7)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
38.2% (220)
-3.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Dowd
Home
47.6% (84)
53.7% (445)
Away
41.0% (61)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Kerfoot
Dowd
P1
50.9%
48.8%
P2
38.2%
49.3%
P3
44.1%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |