Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Dowd 49.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 91.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 67.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Kerfoot
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kerfoot
Dowd
Last 6: Kerfoot 5-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kerfoot
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
52.2% (835)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
60.0% (10)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
44.0% (350)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Dowd
Home
57.4% (235)
51.5% (619)
Away
47.9% (259)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Kerfoot
Dowd
P1
53.2%
51.7%
P2
53.3%
51.6%
P3
50.9%
47.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |