Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 82.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Kerfoot
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kerfoot
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kerfoot
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
49.2% (778)
+1.2%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
58.3% (12)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
44.0% (234)
-4.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Dowd
Home
51.4% (467)
46.3% (492)
Away
43.5% (395)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Kerfoot
Dowd
P1
49.1%
49.1%
P2
42.4%
48.2%
P3
52.7%
46.9%
OT
25.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |