Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Roy 48.9% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 53.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kerfoot
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
49.5% (746)
-4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.7% (75)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
42.7% (110)
-7.9%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kerfoot is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kerfoot shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Roy
Home
49.5% (107)
47.7% (491)
Away
32.4% (71)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Kerfoot
Roy
P1
38.2%
51.1%
P2
47.4%
44.6%
P3
40.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%