Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Roy 47.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 68.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 64.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 69.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Kerfoot
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kerfoot
Roy
Last 8: Kerfoot 5-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Kerfoot
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Kerfoot
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
0
Kerfoot
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
48.6% (679)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
48.0% (50)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
34.7% (49)
+13.5%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Roy
Home
57.4% (235)
49.3% (345)
Away
47.9% (259)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Kerfoot
Roy
P1
53.2%
47.6%
P2
53.3%
47.1%
P3
50.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |