Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Roy 48.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 73.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Kerfoot
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kerfoot
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
48.3% (633)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
52.1% (48)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
43.7% (87)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Roy
Home
47.6% (84)
50.8% (376)
Away
41.0% (61)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Kerfoot
Roy
P1
50.9%
53.8%
P2
38.2%
43.5%
P3
44.1%
46.4%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |