Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Roy 51.9% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 55.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Kerfoot
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
51.9% (547)
+0.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.1% (37)
+45.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
53.3% (92)
-28.3%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Roy
Home
39.2% (51)
54.0% (328)
Away
57.1% (63)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Kerfoot
Roy
P1
51.1%
53.5%
P2
51.6%
51.6%
P3
44.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%