Alexander Wennberg vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Wennberg wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.3% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 50.2%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 74.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 57.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Last 10: Wennberg 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
7
Wennberg
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
4
2
Wennberg
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (618)
49.1% (825)
-4.3%
Power Play
52.4% (191)
65.4% (130)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (117)
34.5% (29)
-2.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wennberg is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Wennberg shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Home
45.5% (453)
52.6% (489)
Away
44.2% (473)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Wennberg
MacKinnon
P1
42.8%
50.3%
P2
43.8%
52.6%
P3
48.3%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
32.0%▼
41.5%
44.8%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |