Alexander Wennberg vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.2%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Wennberg wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 60.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Wennberg
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
4
3
Wennberg
MacKinnon
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
6
Wennberg
MacKinnon
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
56.4% (94)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
40.0% (30)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wennberg is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Wennberg shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Home
48.6% (629)
47.8% (670)
Away
44.0% (559)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Wennberg
MacKinnon
P1
48.3%
45.3%
P2
48.7%
48.5%
P3
42.6%
45.0%
OT
38.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |