Alexander Wennberg vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 39 meetings). Wennberg wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 72-44 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 55.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 53.6%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
72
(116 meetings)
44
72
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
13
22
Wennberg
MacKinnon
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
11
28
Wennberg
MacKinnon
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
20
22
Wennberg
MacKinnon
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,278)
46.1% (11,218)
+0.6%
Power Play
49.4% (1,419)
53.3% (1,412)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (1,132)
42.8% (502)
-3.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wennberg is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,986).
Wennberg shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Home
47.6% (5,983)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
44.9% (5,846)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Wennberg
MacKinnon
P1
46.1%
47.4%
P2
46.2%
46.6%
P3
46.6%
46.1%
OT
45.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |