Alexander Wennberg vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Wennberg wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
5
Wennberg
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
4
Wennberg
MacKinnon
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
8
Wennberg
MacKinnon
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
44.7% (1,053)
+2.7%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
36.8% (95)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
65.0% (20)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wennberg is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Wennberg shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Wennberg
MacKinnon
Home
46.1% (661)
49.4% (553)
Away
45.1% (714)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Wennberg
MacKinnon
P1
48.5%
45.3%
P2
42.6%
42.7%
P3
46.3%
45.1%
OT
38.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |