Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 48.6% vs Dowd 51.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 54.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Wennberg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Wennberg
Dowd
Last 6: Wennberg 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (598)
51.2% (381)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
53.9% (89)
-16.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Wennberg is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Wennberg shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Dowd
Home
51.5% (379)
54.6% (218)
Away
45.0% (327)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Wennberg
Dowd
P1
47.5%
50.6%
P2
47.1%
55.1%
P3
51.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |