Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Wennberg wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 90.0%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 53.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 73.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Wennberg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Wennberg
Dowd
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
5
Wennberg
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Wennberg
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (986)
55.4% (771)
-9.8%
Power Play
51.4% (144)
57.1% (7)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
45.5% (165)
+6.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Wennberg is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (439).
Wennberg shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Dowd
Home
46.4% (621)
58.2% (462)
Away
46.9% (569)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Wennberg
Dowd
P1
42.9%
55.6%
P2
49.3%
50.5%
P3
47.6%
53.9%
OT
37.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |