Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Dowd 48.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 85.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Wennberg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Wennberg
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Wennberg
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Wennberg
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
49.2% (778)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
58.3% (12)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
44.0% (234)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Wennberg is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Wennberg shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Dowd
Home
48.6% (629)
46.3% (492)
Away
44.0% (559)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Wennberg
Dowd
P1
48.3%
49.1%
P2
48.7%
48.2%
P3
42.6%
46.9%
OT
38.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |