Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.9% vs Sturm 52.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Wennberg
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wennberg
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Wennberg
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (986)
54.0% (480)
-8.4%
Power Play
51.4% (144)
28.6% (7)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
50.0% (102)
+1.7%
On power play, Wennberg has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wennberg is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Wennberg shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Sturm
Home
46.4% (621)
54.0% (287)
Away
46.9% (569)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Wennberg
Sturm
P1
42.9%
53.5%
P2
49.3%
51.0%
P3
47.6%
55.1%
OT
37.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |