Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 75.0%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 69.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 72.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Wennberg
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wennberg
Sturm
Last 5: Wennberg 1-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
3
Wennberg
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Wennberg
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
56.1% (716)
-8.7%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
67.7% (31)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
51.1% (133)
-9.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wennberg is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Wennberg shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Sturm
Home
46.1% (661)
55.6% (412)
Away
45.1% (714)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Wennberg
Sturm
P1
48.5%
59.6%
P2
42.6%
52.0%
P3
46.3%
55.5%
OT
38.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |