Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Sturm 59.0% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 66.1%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 61.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 64.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Wennberg
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Wennberg
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Wennberg
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Wennberg
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
60.6% (708)
-12.7%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
61.1% (18)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
56.4% (101)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wennberg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (816).
Wennberg shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Sturm
Home
48.6% (629)
61.6% (451)
Away
44.0% (559)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Wennberg
Sturm
P1
48.3%
55.9%
P2
48.7%
58.9%
P3
42.6%
64.6%
OT
38.9%
70.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |