Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Sturm 53.6% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 73.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 65.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.1%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Wennberg
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
54.6% (271)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
54.4% (90)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Sturm
Home
47.3% (607)
53.0% (168)
Away
44.6% (579)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Wennberg
Sturm
P1
44.5%
58.2%
P2
46.2%
53.2%
P3
47.4%
52.3%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%