Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +25.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.2% vs Dowd 49.5% (-25.4%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 77.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Lafrenière
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (28)
53.4% (485)
-28.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Dowd has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lafrenière is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Lafrenière shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Dowd
Home
0.0% (13)
48.5% (307)
Away
43.8% (16)
50.3% (366)
By Period
Lafrenière
Dowd
P1
33.3%
50.7%
P2
0.0%
49.1%
P3
20.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
24.1%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%