Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 43.2% vs Dowd 53.3% (-24.5%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 82.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Lafrenière
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
31.6% (38)
55.4% (771)
-23.8%
Power Play
20.0% (10)
57.1% (7)
-37.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lafrenière is 10.5% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Lafrenière shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Dowd
Home
26.9% (26)
58.2% (462)
Away
31.8% (22)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lafrenière
Dowd
P1
26.7%
55.6%
P2
29.2%
50.5%
P3
33.3%
53.9%
Final 5 min
25.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
29.2%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%