Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (-14.0%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 90.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Lafrenière
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (70)
55.2% (625)
-20.9%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
57.1% (7)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.2% (220)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lafrenière is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Lafrenière shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Dowd
Home
46.7% (30)
53.7% (445)
Away
30.4% (46)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Lafrenière
Dowd
P1
40.0%
48.8%
P2
48.3%
49.3%
P3
25.0%
54.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
36.8%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%