Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 47.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-14.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 74.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Cogliano
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
51.6% (1,084)
-14.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.0% (246)
+39.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.1% (136)
-19.1%
On power play, Cogliano has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cogliano is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Cogliano shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Hertl
Home
50.0% (10)
55.2% (696)
Away
27.3% (11)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Cogliano
Hertl
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
36.4%
54.8%
P3
0.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
38.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%