Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 48.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 68.3%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 57.1%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Cogliano
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cogliano
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Cogliano
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (41)
54.1% (1,117)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
34.4% (32)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Cogliano has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cogliano is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Cogliano shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Hertl
Home
50.0% (34)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.4% (36)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Cogliano
Hertl
P1
48.0%
51.6%
P2
51.7%
53.6%
P3
37.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
47.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |