Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.8% vs Mercer 42.2% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 84.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 94.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 91.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Copp
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Copp
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Mercer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (554)
39.0% (254)
+15.7%
Power Play
59.5% (42)
28.6% (7)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
55.6% (9)
-9.9%
On power play, Copp has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Copp is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Copp shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Copp
Mercer
Home
53.8% (331)
34.1% (126)
Away
55.0% (311)
43.8% (144)
By Period
Copp
Mercer
P1
55.2%
31.3%
P2
55.2%
44.0%
P3
53.1%
43.7%
Final 5 min
61.4%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
54.4%
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |