Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Mercer 46.3% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 68.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 77.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 50.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Copp
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
43.6% (241)
+10.5%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
50.0% (14)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
70.0% (10)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Copp
Mercer
Home
51.9% (511)
41.7% (120)
Away
55.3% (490)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Copp
Mercer
P1
54.1%
44.6%
P2
54.2%
45.4%
P3
52.5%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |