Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mercer on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Mercer 45.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 67.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 79.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 50.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Copp
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Copp
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
2
Copp
Mercer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
43.2% (148)
+7.1%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
40.0% (10)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
28.6% (7)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Copp
Mercer
Home
51.3% (667)
39.0% (82)
Away
48.3% (632)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Copp
Mercer
P1
50.2%
45.5%
P2
51.8%
44.0%
P3
48.0%
36.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |