Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Mercer 37.5% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 91.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 93.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 86.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Copp
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Copp
Mercer
Last 5: Copp 5-0 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Mercer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
35.4% (548)
+18.2%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
42.9% (35)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
0.0% (7)
+46.0%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Copp
Mercer
Home
54.6% (346)
39.9% (283)
Away
51.8% (363)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Copp
Mercer
P1
55.3%
37.7%
P2
50.0%
32.1%
P3
55.1%
37.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |