Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Mercer 41.8% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 79.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 91.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 86.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Copp
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Copp
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Mercer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
38.8% (263)
+15.5%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
35.3% (17)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
50.0% (10)
-4.4%
On power play, Copp has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Copp
Mercer
Home
54.4% (408)
34.7% (144)
Away
53.4% (410)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Copp
Mercer
P1
53.3%
32.7%
P2
54.1%
42.7%
P3
54.9%
42.2%
Final 5 min
60.8%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |