Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Ryan 50.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 61.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Copp
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Copp
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Copp
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
50.9% (344)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
75.0% (4)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
45.3% (86)
+0.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Copp
Ryan
Home
51.3% (667)
53.7% (214)
Away
48.3% (632)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Copp
Ryan
P1
50.2%
45.0%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
48.0%
54.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |