Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Ryan 55.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 56.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 65.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Copp
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Copp
Ryan
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
4
Copp
Ryan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
8
3
Copp
Ryan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Copp
Ryan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
56.6% (4,102)
-4.2%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
53.2% (342)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
47.8% (649)
-2.5%
On power play, Copp has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Copp
Ryan
Home
52.7% (3,528)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Copp
Ryan
P1
53.0%
55.1%
P2
51.4%
54.7%
P3
51.4%
56.0%
OT
39.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |