Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Ryan 57.4% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 51.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Copp
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
61.4% (220)
-10.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
100.0% (1)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
51.7% (29)
-4.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Copp is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Copp shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Copp
Ryan
Home
52.0% (348)
64.2% (137)
Away
49.1% (279)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Copp
Ryan
P1
48.4%
58.9%
P2
50.2%
62.8%
P3
53.4%
59.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |