Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Ryan 54.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 55.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 67.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Copp
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Copp
Ryan
Last 5: Copp 4-1 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
60.8% (263)
-6.7%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
100.0% (1)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
46.2% (145)
-4.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Copp
Ryan
Home
51.9% (511)
56.7% (201)
Away
55.3% (490)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Copp
Ryan
P1
54.1%
56.7%
P2
54.2%
56.8%
P3
52.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |