Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Hayes 43.8% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Copp
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Copp
Hayes
Last 5: Copp 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Copp
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
42.7% (478)
+10.9%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
42.9% (98)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
45.2% (31)
+0.8%
On power play, Copp has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Copp
Hayes
Home
54.6% (346)
43.5% (232)
Away
51.8% (363)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Copp
Hayes
P1
55.3%
40.1%
P2
50.0%
44.8%
P3
55.1%
42.4%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |