Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Hayes 47.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 25-20 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Copp
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
25
(45 meetings)
20
25
Copp
Hayes
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
11
Copp
Hayes
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
9
8
Copp
Hayes
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
6
Copp
Hayes
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
47.5% (6,708)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
51.7% (702)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
45.3% (697)
+0.0%
On power play, Copp has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Copp
Hayes
Home
52.7% (3,528)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Copp
Hayes
P1
53.0%
47.5%
P2
51.4%
47.6%
P3
51.4%
47.9%
OT
39.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |