Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.4%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Hayes 49.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 71.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Copp
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Copp
Hayes
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
5
Copp
Hayes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Copp
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
48.5% (557)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
53.3% (107)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
58.3% (12)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Copp
Hayes
Home
51.3% (667)
50.8% (313)
Away
48.3% (632)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Copp
Hayes
P1
50.2%
52.3%
P2
51.8%
47.7%
P3
48.0%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |