Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 60.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 60.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Copp
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Copp
Kastelic
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
0
Copp
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
Copp
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
2
Copp
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
58.0% (476)
-7.7%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
75.0% (8)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
50.9% (106)
-5.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Copp
Kastelic
Home
51.3% (667)
64.9% (265)
Away
48.3% (632)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Copp
Kastelic
P1
50.2%
58.5%
P2
51.8%
55.6%
P3
48.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |